Highest level since April
According to the Conference Board, the Consumer Confidence Index for
December hit 64.5, up from 55.2 in November. December confidence levels
beat analyst’s expectations that the index would rise to 58.9 and
consumer confidence is now at its highest level since April.
The
proportion of consumers expecting the business climate to improve over
the next six months rose to 16.7 percent from 13.7 percent, while those
expecting business conditions will worsen declined to 13.4 percent from
16.1 percent.
Respondents that believe jobs are “plentiful” increased to 6.7
percent from 5.6 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get”
decreased to 41.8 percent from 43.0 percent.
Those that plan to buy a home within six months improved slightly,
those that plan to buy a vehicle fell to the lowest level of the year,
and people planning on taking a vacation hit hits highest level for the
year.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research
Center: “After two months of considerable gains, the Consumer Confidence
Index is now back to levels seen last spring (April 2011, 66.0).
Consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions
improved again.
Looking ahead, consumers are more optimistic that
business conditions, employment prospects, and their financial
situations will continue to get better. While consumers are ending the
year in a somewhat more upbeat mood, it is too soon to tell if this is a
rebound from earlier declines or a sustainable shift in attitudes.”
Economist Barry Ritholtz said, “Bottom line, while the move higher in
confidence is good to see, especially around the holidays, at 64.5 it
is still almost half the 10 yr high of 111.9 in July ’07 (of course just
as everything was about to change). But, importantly there seems to
have been an improvement in the labor market as seen in today’s answers
and also in the level of initial jobless claims over the past 3 weeks.”
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